While Querrey went through qualifying without dropping a single set—and is now 5-2 record on grass in 2022—Schwartzman hasn’t played a singles match since losing in straight sets to Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros. Schwartzman hasn’t had any time to get his feet wet on this unique surface, one that's a lot different than red clay. Querrey’s serve, only amplified by the slick turf, is going to be a mighty challenge for Schwartzman to handle. That, ultimately, should make the difference in determining the winner in this one. In addition, Schwartzman’s serve is shaky enough to give the American some openings.
Querrey is no longer the player he once was, but that shouldn’t matter on Tuesday. Of course, Schwartzman will have the advantage in any longer rallies between these two players, but Querrey should be able to pull this one out thanks to his advantage with the ball on his racquet. The grass allows for shorter rallies, where Querrey’s power might allow him to look a bit better than he is with his groundstrokes.
This might not be an easy victory, of course, but Querrey will have a significant edge if these two go to tiebreakers, which is entirely possible. And this just seems like a prime let-down spot for Schwartzman, who is going to need to play some more matches on grass before he heads to Wimbledon. The 29-year-old is just 7-12 on grass in his career as a Tour-level player.
Throughout the clay season, we tried to target players who weren’t playing enough matches on the surface. We’re going to stick with that same approach on grass.
Line Call: Querrey To Win (+102)