You can’t say that Aryna Sabalenka and Jannik Sinner were desperate, exactly, to win titles in Indian Wells.
Sabalenka has been No. 1 in the world for 81 weeks, and at the moment there’s no one within 2,500 ranking points of her. Sinner has been ranked either No. 1 or 2 every week since the middle of 2024; the player one spot below him, Novak Djokovic, has half as many points as he does.
The trouble with those lofty positions, though, is that every loss is magnified, and every error scrutinized for signs of vulnerability and decline. Sinner and Sabalenka each recently suffered a tough and surprising defeat at the Australian Open. She lost to Elena Rybakina in a three-set final, while he lost to Djokovic in a five-set semi.
I’m so done losing these big finals. Aryna Sabalenka
Neither loss happened in a vacuum, either. Sabalenka’s was the latest of many final-round collapses that have plagued her and kept her from racking up the number of majors you would expect from a long-time No. 1. In Sinner’s case, he barely survived cramping in the heat in an early-round match, and he had to sit by and watch as Carlos Alcaraz won his second straight Grand Slam in Melbourne. Neither Sinner nor Sabalenka had won a title since their Aussie defeats.
More strange was the fact that nether of them had won in Indian Wells. They've been the premier hard-court players of this decade, but it has been their rivals, Alcaraz and Iga Swiatek—both of whom are natural clay-courters—who have thrived in the desert, winning two titles each. Whether it was the slow courts or the extreme conditions, this was the rare Masters 1000 that they couldn’t master.


