Aryna Sabalenka vs. Danielle Collins: Where to Watch, Miami Open Preview, Betting Odds

Where to Watch

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The winner of this match will play either No. 9 seed Zheng Qinwen or American Ashlyn Krueger in the quarterfinals.

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Miami Open Match Preview

Sabalenka and Collins know each other’s games well. Only one of them has figured out how to beat the other, though.

Sabalenka is 6-0 against the American, dating back to their first meeting in 2018. Three of those wins have come at the US Open, and three of them have gone to a third set. Sabalenka and Collins both play with maximum aggression—swing-wise and sound-wise. But while Collins’ ground strokes are flat rifle shots that don’t have a ton of margin, Sabalenka’s are hit with more spin, margin, polish, and shape, but without sacrificing much pace. That has spelled the difference between the two in their matches.

Along with her head-to-head edge, Sabalenka is also in better form. She’s 19-4 on the year, while Collins, who announced and rescinded her retirement in 2024, is just 5-3.

But there is hope for the American, for three reasons. (1) In half of her losses to Sabalenka, her game has worked well enough to win her a set; (2) Collins is the defending champion in Miami, so the courts suit her and the fans will be behind her; and (3) While Sabalenka is the WTA’s No. 1 player, she has still has a habit, on occasion, of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Winner: Sabalenka—Steve Tignor

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Betting Odds

Sabalenka is a -650 moneyline favorite; Collins is a +425 underdog.

To win the first set, Sabalenka is -450 and Collins is +280.

(Odds from BetMGM as of 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 23.)

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