I have been looking for ways to fade Tommy Paul throughout Roland Garros, as he has looked hampered by a lower abdomen injury he's referenced often. Paul has even noted that the injury was serious enough that it required MRIs. But Paul keeps shaking off the pain and finding ways to win, and his 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 win over Alexei Popyrin—after two five-setters—was extremely impressive. That was the first match all tournament in which Paul didn’t look too bothered by anything. That should be huge as he gears up for this match against Alcaraz, a player he's beaten twice, and has played him close three other times.
I’m a bit nervous about Paul’s injuries flaring up the second I decide to back him. But you never want to bet scared. And realistically, even if Paul isn’t at 100% health, he can still give Alcaraz a match. Or, in our world, win at least one set.