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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

Something about Tsitsipas’ game has always brought out the best in Alcaraz. The Spaniard announced himself to the tennis world as a teenager three years ago when he upset the Greek in five scintillating sets at the US Open. Since then, he’s continued that mastery with four more wins and no losses in their head-to-head. Last year at Roland Garros, Alcaraz made one-sided, straight-set work of Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals.

Judging by his form through this clay season, though, Tsitsipas seems ready to improve on that result in 2024. He was a champion in Monte Carlo, runner-up in Barcelona, and has come through some tough opponents in Paris—Fucsovics, Zhang, Arnaldi—without too much trouble.

But after a tentative start to the tournament because of an arm injury, Alcaraz has looked better and better with each round. Which means this match should feature both guys at something close to their best. Which, so far, has always meant that Alcaraz comes away the winner. Winner: Alcaraz

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Gauff provides the consistency and speed—the meat and potatoes—while Jabeur provides the cherry on top with her fanciful shot selection.

Gauff provides the consistency and speed—the meat and potatoes—while Jabeur provides the cherry on top with her fanciful shot selection.

Coco Gauff vs. Ons Jabeur

We haven’t seen much of this matchup recently, and what we have seen wasn’t pretty—a 6-0, 6-1 win for Gauff at the WTA Finals in Cancun last October.

Jabeur will surely want to redeem herself after that performance, and try to improve on her 2-4 record against the American. These two should, theoretically, give us something good to watch. Gauff provides the consistency and speed—the meat and potatoes—while Jabeur provides the cherry on top with her fanciful shot selection. Each knows her way around a clay court, but each approaches the surface differently.

Jabeur has the potential to beat Gauff or anyone else on any day. But the percentages, and their past record against each other, say that the steadier Coco will prevail on most days. Winner: Gauff

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Like Alcaraz, Sinner has felt and played better with each round in Paris.

Like Alcaraz, Sinner has felt and played better with each round in Paris. 

Jannik Sinner vs. Grigor Dimitrov

Like Alcaraz, Sinner began this tournament under an injury cloud. In his case, it was the hip issue that had forced him out of Madrid and kept him out of Rome. But also like Alcaraz, he has felt and played better with each round in Paris. He has dropped just one set, to Corentin Moutet, but quickly made up for it by winning the next three sets in increasingly convincing fashion, 6-3, 6-2, 6-1.

Sinner is 3-1 against Dimitrov. Two months ago, he brought the Bulgarian’s dream of winning a Masters 1000 to an end by beating him 6-3, 6-1 in the final in Miami. That was a fairly fast hard court, which favored the harder-hitting Sinner and his two-handed-backhand-based baseline attack. Clay should be a little kinder to Dimitrov and his one-hander; he won their only meeting on the surface four years ago in Rome.

But that was back when Sinner was a teenager, and it was still 6-4 in the third. A normal day for the 2024 version of Sinner should mean another win for him here. Winner: Sinner