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The Break: Congrats on a great career, Sam Stosur

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Benoit Paire

Every so often Paire reminds us that there’s some substance beneath the mercurial flash. The 56th-ranked Frenchman did it again on Thursday when he edged Grigor Dimitrov in four tight sets. Can he put up that kind of sustained effort two rounds in a row? Paire has one win in four tries against Tsitsipas, and has lost their last three meetings in straight sets. With Novak Djokovic absent, Tsitsipas will surely be motivated to do everything he can to give himself a chance at his first Grand Slam title. But he did drop a set in his last round, and Paire is a guy who can disrupt anyone’s rhythm, no matter how dialed-in they try to be. Winner: Tsitsipas

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Make your picks, and you could win big

Make your picks, and you could win big

Think you know what'll happen in Cincy? Tell us in our Match Point Predictor.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Dan Evans

The Canadian and the Brit have met once, last year in Australia, and the Brit came out on top in two surprisingly quick sets. The question this time may be: Is it better to play a lot, or not too much, before a third-round match at a Slam? Auger-Aliassime has played a lot—five sets in his opener and four sets, all tiebreakers, in his second-round. Evans, meanwhile, has played a little. He dropped just seven games in his first-round win over David Goffin and then was handed a walkover on Thursday. Either way, this should be an interesting matchup, as Auger Aliassime pits his pace and speed and all-court aggression against Evans’ good hands and varied shot-making. Winner: Auger Aliassime

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GettyImages-1365327587

GettyImages-1365327587

Danielle Collins vs. Clara Tauson

If you like no-holds-barred ball-belting, you’ve come to the right place. The American and the 19-year-old Dane both bring it as often as they can. They met once before, at Roland Garros in 2020, and Collins emerged the winner in fairly routine fashion. She has also a trip to the Australian Open semifinals on her résumé. But Tauson has Slam-semifinalist—or better—talent, and she began to show it in her second-round upset win over No. 6 seed Anett Kontaveit. Kontaveit had been one of the most in-form and confident players of the last six months, but she had no answer for Tauson’s heavy ground strokes and strike-first style. Winner: Tauson