Aryna Sabalenka says Jessica Pegula pushes her to the "next level"

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Jessica Pegula vs. Jasmine Paolini

🤜 Head to Head: Pegula leads 5-0 (first meeting in 2025)

Pegula has had to battle through a pair of round-robin matches in the Stefanie Graf Group, first outlasting defending champion Coco Gauff before failing to convert a final-set lead against world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka for a 1-1 record.

With Gauff and Sabalenka still in contention for the semifinals, Pegula can all but gaurantee a return to the last four with a victory over the already-eliminated Paolini, who has lost both of her matches in straight sets. Still, even if Pegula posts an easy win, things could get complicated depending on the score of the Gauff-Sabalenka match, one scenario coming down to a tiebreaker tallying game percentages.

In the meantime, Pegula will aim to extend her unbeaten run against the Italian, who looked less than 100% in her defeat to Gauff on Tuesday.

The 2024 US Open finalist has enjoyed a hot streak since reaching the semifinals in Flushing this summer, and is in position to end a solid season on a strong note in Riyadh.

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(5) Jessica Pegula

  • Age: 31
  • Singles Titles: 3 (Charleston, Bad Homburg, Austin)
  • W/L Singles: 50-20
  • Prize Money: $4,212,311

(8) Jasmine Paolini

  • Age: 29
  • Singles Titles: 1 (Rome)
  • W/L Singles: 43-19
  • Prize Money: $4,806,977

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff

🤜 Head to Head: Gauff leads 6-5 (1-1 in 2025)

  • Sabalenka d. Gauff 6-3, 7-6(3)—Madrid final
  • Gauff d. Sabalenka 6-7 (5), 6-2, 6-4—Roland Garros final

One of the most competitive rivalries at the top of women's tennis will play out in one of the highest-stakes matches of the WTA Finals, pitting top seed Aryna Sabalenka against Coco Gauff for the first time since their unforgettable Roland Garros final.

It was there that Sabalenka came just short of winning the title in Paris, with Gauff employing remarkable defense and fighting spirit to capture her second career major title. In the months that followed, the American struggled mightily with her serve while Sabalenka defended her US Open title—effectively shoring up the year-end WTA No. 1 ranking.

In Riyadh, both women have scored straightforward wins over Jasmine Paolini while playing closer matches against Jessica Pegula. But where Gauff fell in three sets, Sabalenka soared over the finish line, winning five of the final six games to remain undefeated in group play.

Sabalenka has a clear shot of making the semifinals, and can gaurantee it by defeating Gauff by any score on Thursday. But if Gauff and Pegula both win in straight sets, Sabalenka would be eliminated, setting the stage for a dramatic conclusion to round-robin action.

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Read More: Tennis Channel analysts draft their WTA Finals fantasy teams

2025 Tale of the Tape

(1) Aryna Sabalenka

  • Age: 27
  • Singles Titles: 4 (US Open, Miami, Madrid, Brisbane)
  • W/L Singles: 60-11
  • Prize Money: $12,313,519

(3) Coco Gauff

  • Age: 21
  • Singles Titles: 2 (Wuhan, Roland Garros)
  • W/L Singles: 47-15
  • Prize Money: $7,274,845

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📅 Order of Play: Thursday, Nov. 6

(3) G. Dabrowski / E. Routliffe vs. (7) T. Babos / L. Stefani
— Start: 3:00 PM local (7:00 AM ET)

(5) Jessica Pegula vs. (8) Jasmine Paolini
— Not before: 5:00 PM local (9:00 AM ET)

(1) Aryna Sabalenka vs. (3) Coco Gauff
— Not before: 6:30 PM local (10:30 AM ET)

(2) K. Siniakova / T. Townsend vs. (5) M. Adreeva / D. Shnaider
— Estimated start: 7:40 PM local (11:40 AM ET)

👉 Tennis Channel Coverage (All times ET)

  • 7:00 a.m. — Doubles Round Robin
  • 11:00 a.m. (9:00 a.m. on App) — Singles (Pegula vs. Paolini, Sabalenka vs. Gauff) and Doubles Round Robin
  • 2:30 p.m. — TC Live
  • 3:00 p.m. — Encore

READ MORE: Where to watch the WTA and ATP Finals, and daily schedules from Riyadh and Turin